Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Why rush Iran war?

Perhaps Tehran is worth reflecting, but should be further provoke war? . Photo : © RIA Novosti.
A sustainable impression that in the past 12 to 13 months, Iran is pushing escalation of military tension around its nuclear programme. No evidence enough. This marked more rhetoric Iranian political and military elite when it comes to Iran's nuclear program. This continued demonstration of the "enemies of Iran" military power in the same context. This demonstrative refusal of the IAEA and the UN Security Council to return to the negotiating table to solve the problem. This seizure Iranian Navy sailors British eve of the adoption of the UN Security Council's last resolution on Iran, which tightened sanctions.
According to many experts, following the election in the summer of 2005 Mahmoud Ahmadinejad President Tehran explicitly stated its claim to the role of regional leader. To do so, recall a statement Ahmadinejad, made more than a year ago, with the requirement for the international community to recognize Iran "regional superpower." Positioning his country in that capacity, Tehran made a bet primarily on the acquisition of nuclear technology, as well as the rigid rhetoric of hatred at winning sympathy "Arab street" to the Middle East.
Tehran also did not hide their intentions with a view to, if not displace the United States permanently from the region, at least, reduce their credibility in the eyes of the same "Arab Street". In Tehran, were confident that the United States is deeply mired in Iraq and Afghanistan, and now they are no longer up to Iran. This was the perfect situation to show finally the "big Satan USA" pathetic "paper tiger".
But apparently in Tehran clearly overestimated their potential. Israel and the FTAA Iran policy in the Middle East has received unconditional support from the "Arab street", which is expected in Tehran. Yes, and the United States suddenly announced a "new strategy" in the region, which they have already enough is enough "interventions" Iran in the internal affairs of its neighbours. In Tehran can not but realize that the infamous Iranian nuclear dossier could serve as a very important opportunity for the realization of the primary objective of the "new" dollars. But he said Washington as a valid argument already creating in the Persian Gulf 4-5 carrier strike group. Tehran vporu seek ways away, but how to do it in order not to spoil the image of a "regional power"?
The Islamic Republic of Iran, of course, has every reason to become a regional power, and the world would only be so if it had not followed the neighbours sick sore. The Iran certainly have every right to develop peaceful nuclear power, which no one thinks encroach. But Iran is exploiting the NPT (Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons) insist on the idea of presumption of innocence. Tehran deliberately omits that the NPT is a presumption, but the other way around. NPT, in the opinion of experts, as provided for a presumption of "inevitability of a nuclear weapons when all of its parts" from the simple truth : man is weak, and the temptation is great. The world is not convinced that Iran stand the temptation of developing their own nuclear weapons, if not in a position to clearly explain the IAEA should develop its nuclear technology.
Iran is directly political action. These many experts attributed the recent seizure by Iranian Navy 15 British seafarers. This action was carried out on the usual, in such cases, a standard pattern when one of the parties (in this case, the Iranian) uses podvernuvshisa reason to be at increased.
This time move apparently failed. The UN Security Council challenge to Iran adopted for the first time and voted unanimously on the Iranian resolution on the tightening of the sanctions. Perhaps Tehran is worth reflecting, but should be further provoke war?

rian.ru

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